What futurists can learn from superforecasters

Plaatje superforecasters

Superforecasting, the art of prediction by Tetlock and Gardner, is definitely the number one must-read for futurists this winter. Especially because the topic of prediction can generate a lot of discussion. Despite the public belief of the future industry as a crystal ball business, futurists in general are reluctant about … Continue reading

The essence of scenarios, learning from the Shell experience

Three Airmen participate in dog-sled expedition

On March 4th 2014, an exciting new book on working with scenarios was launched by Amsterdam University Press: The essence of scenarios: learning from the shell experience by authors Angela Wilkinson and Roland Kupers. Both authors have an impressive history on working with scenarios inside and outside the Shell company … Continue reading