Strategic foresight on the impact of technology on the agriculture and food sector

Everybody always wants to know the future: Which technology will create breakthroughs in the next years? Which innovative products will we see on the market in ten years? Foresight does not enable better predictions, but foresight can help you to see the things that matter in how the future could … Continue reading

Governments doing scenario planning: could they trigger self-fulfilling prophecies?

Policy making is always targeting the future. Through regulations and programs, governments intend to steer the course of events into a more desired society and economic prosperity. Various governments are using foresight studies as strategic background documents about plausible futures. These can be large encompassing foresight studies. However, strategic policy … Continue reading

Will the Brain Computer Interface technology help to bridge the gap between humans and animals?

Now imagine this, we’re on our way to transcending the language barrier, with the Brain Computer Interface, for human to human communication, where direct and immediate interpretation or translation will be possible with the appropriate software. Imagine, if you can start understanding, what your dog, your cat or your hamster … Continue reading

The essence of scenarios, learning from the Shell experience

On March 4th 2014, an exciting new book on working with scenarios was launched by Amsterdam University Press: The essence of scenarios: learning from the shell experience by authors Angela Wilkinson and Roland Kupers. Both authors have an impressive history on working with scenarios inside and outside the Shell company … Continue reading

‘Synthetic biology and other benign technologies that could have a dark side’ – interview with Seán Ó hÉigeartaigh

This interview with Seán Ó hÉigeartaigh, Academic Project Manager at the Oxford Martin Programme on the Impacts of Future Technology, takes place in a series of discussions with the keynote speakers of An Interesting Afternoon – The world in 50 years and how do we get there? This event by … Continue reading

Brain Computer Interface: The accessories it will be disrupting by 2030

When technology is built and sold to read the users’ thoughts or minds, so that we may interact with our electronics directly from our brains, it is going to be an obvious game-changer. What we do with the new ease, access and opportunities that such technology offers, will change our … Continue reading

Towards a planetary consciousness?

Nearly everyone, over the age of fifty, knows the photo of the Vietnamese girl, Kim Phuc, who, half burnt, is running away after a napalm bombing by the Americans. At the time, this photo was an icon in the protests against the war in Vietnam. What has this image to … Continue reading

The New Security Threats in the Age of the Brain Computer Interface

The world is seeing the emergence of Brain Computer Interface and its application in our daily computing or communication is on the horizon. With its emergence, it is important for us to foresee, understand and appreciate the implications the technology will have, whether positive or negative. That we will progress … Continue reading

Revisiting New Productive Communes: A foresight in realisation through the revival of India’s Ancient Cattle Based Economic Model

Background of Foresight In the first half of 2013, The Rise of New Productive Communes: A Reality by the Year 2050, a foresight article, was shared on the Visioning 2050 . The New Productive Commune was presented as a self-sufficient, self-contained and sustainable model, that would cause no detriment to … Continue reading

Five key advantages of scenario planning

Scenario planning is one of the most widely used tools of futurists in consulting organisations. In collaborative efforts with a stakeholder group, from within or outside of the organisation, multiple scenarios of different futures are generated. The main uncertainties of where the future might lead us, are often the main … Continue reading

Patrick van der Duin, lector trend research and future studies

In the Netherlands students who pursue a career as a futurist can study at Fontys Hogeschool Tilburg in the program of trend research and future studies, part of the Academy of Creative Industries. Patrick van der Duin, board member of the Dutch Future Society and assistant professor in Delft University … Continue reading

The next generation Organisation: The Intuitive Organisation

As we transit from the Information Age into the Innovation Age, a question beckons; what is the type of organisation that will be warranted by the new landscape of economy & commerce as presented by the new age? Change as a Constant In an environment where truly indeed, change is … Continue reading

Three Horizons of the future in the present

The Three Horizons framework is a model of longer-term change. The framework can be used for theoretical analysis as well as in workshops settings. One of the things that makes the framework so useful and comprehensible is the fact that it consists of three lines, that each represent a ‘horizon’. … Continue reading

How our Present is steering us into an Innovation Centric Future

Our world is in transition; from the information age into the innovation age. The symptoms are the unprecedent accelerations in the speed of change all around, particularly where technology is the subject matter at the core. Upon the transition, what awaits ahead, is a prolonged period of time that is … Continue reading

Recapturing the future, strengthening strategic capacities

Governing bodies take decisions for the future all the time. However, they may not be aware of possible future in their daily business. The municipality of Haarlemmermeer, home of Schiphol Amsterdam Airport, realised that they needed to enhance their imagination of the future and take this into account in their … Continue reading

Future studies to get you unstuck from the present

Many times people wish that futurists could look into the future and see the things that they don’t see yet. However, futurists cannot predict the future. But it can help to think more widely about potential events and potential convergence of trends and development. One of the most exciting aims … Continue reading

Why Systems Thinking is Critical for Effective Roadmapping

The Core Function of Futurists The core function of any Futurist is to study the future, to help clients, whether internal or external, to develop roadmaps from the present point, to a long-term future point in time. That is the core and most important purpose of future studies. Basically, the … Continue reading

Understanding Convergence is Key to Effective Strategic Foresight

Do you know that your present day laptop is a result of convergence? It is the result of a convergence of technological advancements, where batteries were developed to provide independence from fixed power sockets and hard-disks were made compact enough to carry in portable devices. The smartphone resulted from the … Continue reading

4 Pitfalls for Foresight Practitioners

Thinking about the future and practicing foresight is no cakewalk. This is made very clear in the book Foresight in Action. The authors have done ethnographic research on how foresight practitioners proceed in practice, with respect to the policy practice. The study took place at several Dutch ministries and planning … Continue reading

A socio-cultural framework for scenarios

Recently, I have become very enthusiastic about using socio-cultural perspectives as a framework for scenarios. This framework is well suited for complex societal issues and is often used for scenarios in the field of environment, sustainability issues and water management.  It’s point of departure is the idea that individuals, communities, … Continue reading