Visionaries of the future: Arthur C Clarke

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Arthur C Clarke (1917-2008) foresaw the evolution of science, but also helped creating this evolution. He asked us: who are we? Why are we here? And what is our place in the universe? His earliest work, Childhood’s end’, is the first in a series of Clarke’s ideas on alien contact … Continue reading

The walletless future

mobile payment

We know that the possibilities of our smart phones are virtually endless. One of the functions that we will see more and more are mobile payment services. Digital wallets are potentially everywhere. But would we, society as a whole, be willing to give up physical money completely? Google Wallet, Paypal, … Continue reading

The future of super-intelligent transport systems

brain driving

Our hyper-urbanised life of the 21th century will rely heavily on urban transportation. Individual lifestyles, flexible work rhythms and unconstrained leisure time activities all encourage transportation. On top of that, think of all the cargo that needs to enter the city for us to eat, drink, work in our offices … Continue reading

Can we measure foresight impact?

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How can we meausure foresight impact? When it comes to policy-oriented foresight, like many other creative processes, proving or measuring it’s impact on policy does not come easily. Foresight professionals might recognize some of these experiences I’ve had in the past:  the impact of the foresight endeavour is limited to … Continue reading

Cognitive biases to be aware of in futurist thinking

hedgehog and fox

“No serious futurist deals in predictions”. These are the famous words of Alvin Toffler in his seminal book Future Shock from 1971. Instead, future studies usually describe a number of plausible futures pointing at different directions for the world or society. Never predicting, just analyzing uncertainty and complexity. However, the … Continue reading